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It has been almost a month and a half since latest devastating conflict between US, Israel, and Iran began. The world has started feeling its impact despite not being involved directly or indirectly, as prices of petroleum products and gas have hit roof in most parts of world. India has so far managed to contain price increases, as central government had been preparing months in advance for any such eventuality. However, this situation may not last very long if war continues for an extended period. It is Indian leadership’s diplomatic skill that is yielding results—despite being at odds with many countries, Iran has allowed Indian ships passage through Hormuz Strait, and as a result, India remains in control of situation at home so far.
Some opportunistic elements are always on lookout for chances in such devastating scenarios, where thousands of innocent people have been killed mercilessly and there is colossal destruction of basic civic and military infrastructure in Israel, Iran, and even in neutral Arab countries. Iran is striking these nations in retaliation, as it cannot confront the US directly and believes they are all supporters of the United States. These Arab nations are in the worst position of all—they have spent billions of dollars securing themselves by purchasing US armaments, yet are still being hit, with both civilian and military establishments suffering huge damages, while the US has done little to stop it. As a result, their trust in the United States as a guarantor of their security has been severely shaken. Unscrupulous countries like China and Pakistan are attempting to take advantage of every possible opening created by this conflict. China is supporting Iran by providing real-time military information, enabling it to carry out precise strikes on Israel and US installations, causing significant damage despite its limited military capabilities. Pakistan, on the other hand, appears focused on strategizing against its nemesis, India, seeking opportunities to act in a situation that is already unfavourable for global peace and stability.
Indian government has credible intelligence inputs indicating that Pakistan is preparing to launch an attack on India, allegedly with backing from the US, to divert global attention from US failure to contain Iran and shift focus on an India–Pakistan conflict. Recent short visit of Russian Deputy Prime Minister, along with his meetings with Indian Prime Minister, Defence Minister, and NSA, signals significant exchange of critical information regarding India’s security and updates to its defence apparatus. Indian government has held a series of CCS meetings within a span of a week, and mock security drills are being conducted at multiple locations, including national capital Delhi. Reports of villages near Pakistan border in Punjab and Rajasthan being asked to vacate and move to safer areas further indicate possible escalation and potential resumption of Op Sindoor-2, as India assesses that Pakistan is unlikely to relent unless decisively countered. Pakistan is viewed as a rogue state driven by an entrenched anti-India posture, with its survival often perceived as tied to sustained hostility or attempts to destabilize India. What its leadership fails to recognize is that this is no longer old India with weak, corrupt, and compromised leadership that avoided building strength and self-reliance. Today’s India does not wait passively for an attack; even signs of hostile intent are met with readiness to respond first and decisively, with the aim of neutralizing any threat.
India and the world should once again be prepared to witness a decisive and fierce response from India in the coming weeks, given the pace at which its defence preparedness is advancing. Unfortunately, a conflict with its arch enemy appears inevitable, likely triggered by provocation from its rogue neighbour. If Pakistan remains as it is, prospects for lasting peace, especially for India will continue to face serious challenges. It may sound harsh, but many argue that only a fundamental transformation of such a state can ensure a stable and lasting peace and bring an end to terror on a global scale. One thing, however, seems certain: this time India is prepared to confront its adversary with the intent of bringing a definitive end to the threat once and for all.
-Yugal Parashar