Qantas and Jetstar are cutting flight capacity as fuel prices continue to climb. Qantas Group said jet fuel prices had more than doubled since it released its half-year outlook in February, driven by sharp increases in oil refining margins.
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The airline now expects its fuel bill for the second half of the 2026 financial year to rise to between A$3.1 billion (NZ$3.72 b) and A$3.3b (NZ$3.9 b). That’s $600 to $800 million (AUD) more than forecast.
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Three weeks ago, Jetstar announced it had cancelled 12% of its scheduled flights in May. The cuts affect Auckland-Wellington and Auckland-Christchurch services, along with Auckland flights to Sydney and Brisbane.
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In an update on Tuesday, it says Jetstar’s capacity in New Zealand, Asia and Australian international flights is expected to fall by 5% in the second half of the year.
Jetstar flies to Sunshine Coast, Rarotonga, Gold Coast, Cairns, Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney from several NZ ports.
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Domestic capacity in Australia on both airlines is also being cut by about 5 percentage points in the final quarter of the financial year.
That means fewer low-cost seats on routes used by New Zealand travellers.
Qantas International capacity is still expected to rise by 9% over the same period, suggesting the group is focusing on its full-service routes but trimming lower-cost operations.
Its international revenue per seat kilometre in the second half of the year was now expected to grow by 4 to 6%, about double its earlier forecast.
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Qantas said demand for Europe remained strong as travellers sought alternative routes that avoid the Middle East.
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In response, the airline has moved aircraft away from some United States and domestic services to add more flights to Paris and Rome.
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That means New Zealanders travelling to Europe through Australia, particularly during the northern summer, will have more seats, but don’t expect that to bring down prices.
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The airline said it had hedged about 90% of its crude oil exposure, but remained vulnerable to the cost of refining crude into jet fuel. Refining margins rose from about US$20 a barrel in February to a peak of around US$120.
Qantas said fuel suppliers had given it confidence that enough jet fuel would be available through the rest of April and into May, but warned the situation remained uncertain.
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The company said it could take further action if fuel prices remain high.